As investors, you have all been on the receiving end of sales pitches from brokers, friends and investment advisors about stocks that they claim will deliver spectacular returns. These stories not only sound persuasive and reasonable but are also backed up by evidence—anecdotal, in some cases, and statistical, in others—that the strategies work. When you […]
Interest Rate
How Much Risk Should I Take?
If you read technical analysis reports or any kind of possible “predictive” analysis reports on markets performance – if they have a commercial angle – you will often read the statement “past performances do not guarantee future performances“. This is obviously an important disclaimer that whoever is selling must include in any literature going out […]
VIDEO: The Universal Principle of Risk Management: Pooling and the Hedging of Risks
Statistics and mathematics underlie the theories of finance. Probability Theory and various distribution types are important to understanding finance. Risk management, for instance, depends on tools such as variance, standard deviation, correlation, and regression analysis. Financial analysis methods such as present values and valuing streams of payments are fundamental to understanding the time value of […]
The return of fiscal policy – A step in the right direction by Nouriel Roubini
Nouriel Roubini is a widely known professor at NYU’s Stern School of Business, and was senior economist for international affairs in the White House’s council of economic advisers during the Clinton era. He has also worked for the IMF, the Federal Reserve, and the World Bank. Since the global financial crisis of 2008, monetary policy […]
Interest Rate Risk – Market Interest Rate and Bond Prices
You may have noticed articles in the media about investors “chasing yield,” the so-called “bond bubble,” or predictions about declines in bond prices. some of these warnings about a drop in bond prices relate to the potential for a rise in interest rates. Interest rate risk is common to all bonds, particularly bonds with a […]
A post-Brexit Assessment of Risks to Debt Sustainability in the Euro Area
Over a month has gone and BREXIT effects are still unfolding. Many defend that the essential feeling is uncertainty and the real effects caused by the fact that the United Kingdom did vote to leave Europe, will only be felt a time goes by. In the meantime, lots of literature and commentators write about BREXIT on a daily basis. Professor John Iannis Mourmouras, […]