As investors, you have all been on the receiving end of sales pitches from brokers, friends and investment advisors about stocks that they claim will deliver spectacular returns. These stories not only sound persuasive and reasonable but are also backed up by evidence—anecdotal, in some cases, and statistical, in others—that the strategies work. When you […]
Author: Antonio Caldas
How Much Risk Should I Take?
If you read technical analysis reports or any kind of possible “predictive” analysis reports on markets performance – if they have a commercial angle – you will often read the statement “past performances do not guarantee future performances“. This is obviously an important disclaimer that whoever is selling must include in any literature going out […]
Intelligent Risk – PRMIA – October 2016
This issue of Intelligent Risk explores strategic risk and financial institution business models, as well as offers updates on PRMIA initiatives and programs. Inside this issue: Reputational Risk – “How persistent are the effects of negative reputation events?” National differences in risk culture An interview with PRMIA Director of Learning and Development, Mary Rehm Market-risk […]
VIDEO: The Universal Principle of Risk Management: Pooling and the Hedging of Risks
Statistics and mathematics underlie the theories of finance. Probability Theory and various distribution types are important to understanding finance. Risk management, for instance, depends on tools such as variance, standard deviation, correlation, and regression analysis. Financial analysis methods such as present values and valuing streams of payments are fundamental to understanding the time value of […]
Leverage and Risk Weighted Capital Requirements
The global financial crisis has highlighted the limitations of risk-sensitive bank capital ratios. To tackle this problem, the Basel III regulatory framework has introduced a minimum leverage ratio, defined as a banks Tier 1 capital over an exposure measure, which is independent of risk assessment. Using a medium sized DSGE model that features a banking […]
INFOGRAPHIC: The Aftermath of the BREXIT Vote
Many experts predicted a BREXIT calamity if the UK voted to leave. Leave was the outcome and the question now posing is: were they right? Take a look at the last three months and the aftermath of the BREXIT vote. BREXIT “doom and gloom” appears to be mostly exaggerated (so far) For the first half of […]
Updated Rules for Markets in Financial Instruments: MiFID 2
Date: 30.06.2016 A Directive and a Regulation extending the application date of MiFID II and MiFIR by one year have been published in the Official Journal of the European Union. The date of application will be 3 January 2018. The transposition of MiFID II into national laws has also been extended to 3 July 2017. […]
The return of fiscal policy – A step in the right direction by Nouriel Roubini
Nouriel Roubini is a widely known professor at NYU’s Stern School of Business, and was senior economist for international affairs in the White House’s council of economic advisers during the Clinton era. He has also worked for the IMF, the Federal Reserve, and the World Bank. Since the global financial crisis of 2008, monetary policy […]